Trump vs. Harris odds are tightening across election betting sites like Kalshi, PredictIt, and Polymarket.
Republican Donald Trump has been a heavy favorite to beat Democrat Kamala Harris until recently.
A few days ago, Trump was 65% versus Harris 35%. With less than 24 hours to go until the polls open, the race is neck-and-neck.
In fact, the Harris quickly became a small favorite over the weekend, albeit for a moment. Trump regained the lead and saw it grow early Monday morning, up to as high as 57% as of this writing. Still, the presidential race is basically a coin flip.
You can bet on Harris vs. Trump odds on the top reviewed prediction market site Kalshi. New users who sign up here get a $20 bonus.
Read more about how to bet on the Presidential election.
Trump vs. Harris Odds
UPDATED ODDS: As of 4:15 p.m. on Monday, November 4, Trump's odds have slipped to 54%, down from 57% in the morning.
As we mentioned earlier, there’s a plethora of Trump and Harris betting odds available at Kalshi, which allows you to legally bet on the election.
Harris vs. Trump odds are offered for the presidential winner, popular vote winner, margin of victory, balance of power (Senate, House, and Presidency), plus Harris vs. Trump odds for each state.
Here’s a look at some of the current odds, according to Kalshi:
:
Presidential Winner Odds
Popular Vote Odds
Balance of Power Odds
- D-House, R-Senate, D-President: 35%
- Republican Sweep: 33%
- Democrat Sweep: 17%
- D-House, R-Senate, R-President: 10%
- R-House, R-Senate, R-President: 5%
- D-House, D-Senate, R-President: 2%
- R-House, D-Senate, D-President: 1%
- R-House, D-Senate, R-President: <1%
How To Bet on Harris vs. Trump
To bet on the Trump vs. Harris betting markets above, you can sign up on Kalshi:
- Click here.
- Download the app if you’re on mobile-- if you’re on desktop, click the “Sign up” button in the right corner.
- Follow the sign-up instructions, providing your personal info such as name, address, and birthday.
- Fund your account using your bank account, crypto, Apple Pay, debit card, or wire transfer. (Remember you have to deposit $100 to claim the $20 bonus.)
- Start betting on various Trump and Harris odds.
In addition to all of the available election odds, you’ll find hundreds of other markets spanning categories such as pop culture, business, weather, and more.
More Harris vs. Trump Odds Notes
Here are some tips and notes to remember as you try to decide whether to bet on Trump or Harris.
- While Kalshi odds show the race close to 50/50 — a virtual coin flip — Polymarket still favors Trump closer to 55% while putting Harris at 45%. Unfortunately, you can’t bet on Polymarket if you’re in the United States, so we’re betting on Kalshi.
- There is, however, another place where Americans can bet on Trump vs. Harris: PredictIt. PredictIt’s Trump vs. Harris odds favor Harris by 55%, putting Trump at 45%. (Click here sign up and get a $20 bonus on PredictIt)
- It’s important to remember that the winner of the popular vote isn’t always the winner of the election. This is why Harris is a sizeable favorite to win the most votes overall but not necessarily the presidency.
- Betting odds show a high probability of divided government, as the most likely “Balance of Power” outcome is a Democrat president, Democrat House, and Republican Senate (34%). If you believe that a Republican Senate is strongly correlated with Trump winning the presidency, then you might find more value in betting on a Republican Sweep (32%), paying out over 2-to-1 odds.
Bet on Harris vs. Trump odds here.
